Tick, tick, tick. Oscar voting ends at 5pm on Tuesday, February 19th. Just think: next year at this time, the Oscars will already be in the rear window.

So what happened? Did “Roma” Pull off a Coup? Is “Green Book” a “Spotlight” or “Moonlight”? Did “A Star is Born” Bounce Back?

If I had to guess, “Green Book” is Best Picture, Alfonso Cuaron is Best Director, the acting awards go to Glenn, Rami, Mahershala, and Regina.

Everyone gets something. It’s a win win for movies. “Roma” gets Foreign Language Film.

Is that what should happen? Oh, we’re way past that barrier. It’s time to wrap up this crazy season and start looking at the new films.

But what about “Black Panther”? It made $700 million. “Blackkklansman”? It brought Spike Lee back in a big way.

The reality: no one knows. Anything could happen. Maybe “Roma” just turns into a steamroller. We’ll know right away if Marina de Tavira wins Best Supporting Actress and upsets the apple cart, then “Roma” takes it all. If someone other than Regina King or Marina wins BSA, then there’s massive drinking in the Dolby Theater lobby.

What about original screenplay? If “Roma” or “Green Book” wins, you have to think, that’s the Best Picture. But what if “The Favourite” pulls through? Then, we’re in trouble. Or maybe Paul Schrader gets his first Oscar– for “First Reformed”– after 200 years?

Again, back to the bars.

There’s a big upside for “The Upside” and a little bit of a downside.

The current movie was Harvey Weinstein’s idea. He bought and released the great French film, “The Intouchables,” released it and retained the US rights. The movie was a big hit in 2011 although France did not submit it as a foreign film entry to the Academy Awards.

Making “The Intouchables” into a US movie was all Weinstein talked about. And he did it. He hired director Neil Burger, oversaw the casting of Bryan Cranston and Kevin Hart, even persuaded Nicole Kidman to take a small, supporting role.

At the 2017 Toronto Film Festival, “The Upside” had a huge opening at Roy Thomson Hall. Weinstein declared there would be an Oscar qualifying run in December followed by a February 2018 opening. In fact, “The Upside” went over so well it took the sting out of another premiere Harvey had at that festival, the lamentably confused “The Current War,” which failed to electrify the audience.

But about two and a half weeks later, Weinstein’s world came crashing down. He was accused of sexual misconduct, The Weinstein Company went belly up, and all release plans ended.

“The Upside” went into the company’s bankruptcy.

Now this movie that Harvey Weinstein shepherded is on its way to $100 million this week via STK Films. If “The Upside” had remained a Weinstein Company movie, it would have been their 6th highest ranked behind “Django Unchained,” “The King’s Speech,” “Silver Linings Playbook,” “Inglorious Basterds,” and “The Butler.” It was what Harvey had always been aiming for– a big commercial studio type comedy with broad appeal. An arbiter of good taste, he’d bought “The Artist,” won a lot of Oscars for it, and still made no money. “The Upside” would have been a lovely vindication for him.

Weinstein’s personal behavior may have been reprehensible, but no one knew quality movies like he did. All those Oscar nominations and wins were not a fluke. Those movies stand up to this day including and most importantly “Shakespeare in Love,” which won a bunch of Oscars 20 years ago.