Thursday, July 25, 2024

Oscar Voting Closes Tues at 5pm: Did “Roma” Pull off a Coup? Is “Green Book” a “Spotlight” or “Moonlight”? Did “A Star is Born” Bounce Back?


Tick, tick, tick. Oscar voting ends at 5pm on Tuesday, February 19th. Just think: next year at this time, the Oscars will already be in the rear window.

So what happened? Did “Roma” Pull off a Coup? Is “Green Book” a “Spotlight” or “Moonlight”? Did “A Star is Born” Bounce Back?

If I had to guess, “Green Book” is Best Picture, Alfonso Cuaron is Best Director, the acting awards go to Glenn, Rami, Mahershala, and Regina.

Everyone gets something. It’s a win win for movies. “Roma” gets Foreign Language Film.

Is that what should happen? Oh, we’re way past that barrier. It’s time to wrap up this crazy season and start looking at the new films.

But what about “Black Panther”? It made $700 million. “Blackkklansman”? It brought Spike Lee back in a big way.

The reality: no one knows. Anything could happen. Maybe “Roma” just turns into a steamroller. We’ll know right away if Marina de Tavira wins Best Supporting Actress and upsets the apple cart, then “Roma” takes it all. If someone other than Regina King or Marina wins BSA, then there’s massive drinking in the Dolby Theater lobby.

What about original screenplay? If “Roma” or “Green Book” wins, you have to think, that’s the Best Picture. But what if “The Favourite” pulls through? Then, we’re in trouble. Or maybe Paul Schrader gets his first Oscar– for “First Reformed”– after 200 years?

Again, back to the bars.

Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman began his Showbiz411 column in April 2009 after 10 years with Fox News, where he created the Fox411 column. His movie reviews are carried by Rotten Tomatoes, and he is a member of both the movie and TV branches of the Critics Choice Awards. His articles have appeared in dozens of publications over the years including New York Magazine, where he wrote the Intelligencer column in the mid 90s and covered the OJ Simpson trial, and Fox News (when it wasn't so crazy) where he covered Michael Jackson. He is also the writer and co-producer of "Only the Strong Survive," a selection of the Cannes, Sundance, and Telluride Film festivals, directed by DA Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus.

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