The social media Oscar prognosticators are heading to their climax on Sunday night.

But the only real toss up, I think, is Best Actor. Ethan Hawke should have won, but his campaign was minimal. Timothee Chalamet was the front runner for a long time, but he’s perhaps blown himself up. That leaves Michael B. Jordan, who is now the front runner.

You never know, but Chalamet could still win. Most of the hate directed at him came too late to influence voters. If he brings Kylie Jenner to the show, he will absolutely lose, however. The universe will not permit that.

The other winners, I’m afraid, look pretty set in stone. Paul Thomas Anderson and “One Battle After Another” are going to take Best Director and Best Picture. This doesn’t mean that Ryan Coogler and “Sinners” don’t deserve it. But as a whole movie, “One Battle” is the most satisfying one of the year.

Also, Sean Penn will pick up a third Oscar, this time in Best Supporting Actor, for “One Battle.” His path to success was just laying low and letting the work speak for itself.

Jessie Buckley has Best Actress wrapped up for “Hamnet.” Standing at the lip of the Old Globe stage, her character — Mrs. Shakespeare — has that indelible moment you can’t ignore. (Also, I really think Paul Mescal got screwed with no nomination. He was spectacular.)

Amy Madigan in a cinch for Best Supporting Actress from “Weapons.” Personally, I loved Teyana Taylor in “One Battle.” But Madigan was great, and the role caps off 50 years in the business.

Screenplay awards will go to “Sinners” for original and “One Battle” for adapted.

Again, maybe I’m wrong, or maybe there’s a huge surprise. This Oscar season went on two or three weeks too long. But this what happens. Just as voting begins you think something has changed in the mindsets of voters. How many times did we say to ourselves, “One more week and –“?

But you know, it always turns out the same way.

“Frankenstein” will pick up several below the line awards. Guillermo del Toro is headed to a Governor’s Award one day soon.

One more thing about “Sinners,” and I said it before: if they gave out Oscars for single scenes, the dance number in the barn would win. It was the only real ‘gasp’ moment of the season.

“Melania,” the movie, is free to watch on Amazon Prime.

You’d think it would be number 1 on the platform.

But it’s not. It’s number 7, and dropping quickly.

On the Amazon Prime movie chart, “Melania” lags well behind “The Fall Guy” movie starring Ryan Gosling and Emily Blunt.

The latter film costs $3.99 to rent.

Why is “Melania” free? Because Fox/Rupert Murdoch has underwritten the streaming. And that’s why Murdoch’s NY Post is erroneously reporting that the movie is number 1 on amazon. LOL. You can’t make it up. (They do.)

As anyone who checks it out even briefly knows, “Melania” is an infomercial. It has zero nutritional value as a movie. Could it be worse? No.

Stay tuned. The “Melania” chart position will get worse.

This is a blockbuster warning.

The trailer for Steven Spielberg’s “Disclosure Day” is here, and it looks great.

Colin First, Emily Blunt, and Josh O’Connor star in what looks like the capper to “ET,” “Close Encounters,” and “AI.”

You can’t beat a trailer that ends with the almost-reveal of a space ship

Will “Disclosure Day” explain everything about UFOs and aliens? I actually thought David Lynch’s Season 3, episode of “Twin Peaks” might have done that. But Spielberg is a genius, and this may be his pièce de résistance.

This makes me think next year’s Oscars will really be worth it!

The “Peaky Blinders” movie is a hit.

You don’t have to know much about the long running series to appreciate the film, called “The Immortal Man,” which opens Friday in theaters.

The next week it goes to Netflix but remains on the big screen, where I think you should watch it. It’s that good.

Oscar winner Cillian Murphy, Tim Roth, Rebecca Ferguson, and Barry Keoghan star in what is the final episode of what Murphy calls “this chapter” of the show, meaning it could go on without him.

Roth plays a villain added to the story, a British fascist sympathizer named Beckett, who was not in the series. When I told him I’d seen all the episodes, he exclaimed, “Would you believe I’ve never seen one!” To be fair, his character comes along years after the series’ finale.

But “The Immortal Man” stands alone as a film, and it’s very very good.

For the film, all the original creators returned including director Tom Harper, screenwriter Stephen Knight, within insanely rich cinematography from Ben Wilson and George Steel.

Netflix threw an old fashioned elegant premiere for “Immortal Man” last night with a private screening at the DGA Theater. Among the guests were Kathleen Turner, and Steve Buscemi. Later the crowd moved to an elegant dinner buffet at the Plaza Hotel where Murphy held court.

(As a total aside, I met WNBC’s Natalie Pasqarella, a rising media star and anchor of the Channel 4 News here in New York. She’s lovely.)

Keoghan and Ferguson never arrived, but Murphy spent a lot of time accepting congrats. (He did miss fellow Oscar winner Adrien Brody, however, who came to the party in a super Thom Browne black suit.)

Netflix loves this movie. Every guest at the DGA found a genuine tweed cap, the kind worn in the movie, on their seats. At the Plaza, the tables were adorned with replica pocket watches.

As you may know, the TV series follows the antics of the Peaky Blinders gang in Birmingham, England from 1880 to 1920. The gang is Irish but they’re mixed with Romani’s — gypsies — making the stories and cast extremely colorful. A mild warning — there’s a lot of gritty violence, including the disposal of enemy who is eaten alive. Pigs factor into it, and you don’t want to miss Murphy and Keoghan mud wrestling.

There are a lot of takeaways in “The Immortal Man.” Ferguson is great, this role is a big departure from her “Mission Impossible” role. She deserves to be a real leading lady. Keoghan, as usual, has his show stopping moments. Roth steals a lot of scenes with aplomb and gets what’s coming to him.

But it’s Murphy’s movie. I asked him if was possible that he could be old enough to be Keoghan’s on screen father? “Biologically, yes, I’m afraid so,” he replied drolly. “Tommy Shelby got busy at 16!” Murphy, now 49, has matured into being one of the world’s great stars, a lyrical Irish actor whose range is unlimited. You can’t take your eyes off him here.