Wednesday, April 17, 2024

Oscar Race 2016: How Things Stack Up Right Now in the Major Categories


So: how are doing on October 25th, with many of the films poised for the Oscar race having been seen? Of course, there are stragglers, like Quentin Tarantino’s “The Hateful Eight” and Alejandro Innaritu’s “The Revenant.” We don’t know what will be from Angelina Jolie’s “By the Sea” or Will Smith in “Concussion.” Ron Howard has “In the Heart of the Sea” and David O. Russell has “Joy.”

This will be a highly competitive year, with a lot of campaigning and jockeying for position. Nothing is a lock so far. Two films that everyone liked, “Black Mass” and “The Walk,” have not caught on at all at the box office. I don’t know what will happen to them.

The names will change, but if we had to go by what we’ve seen so far, here are some short lists. More to come, as they say…

Bridge of Spies, Carol, The Danish Girl, Steve Jobs, Truth, Youth, Son of Saul, Inside Out, Room, The Martian, Straight Outta Compton, Spotlight

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Jake Gyllenhaal, Southpaw
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
Tom Hanks, Bridge of Spies
Michael Caine, Youth
Matt Damon, The Martian
*Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight (I’d put him here, but he wants to be in Supporting)

*Cate Blanchett, Truth (in the end she can only be nominated in this category once)
*Cate Blanchett, Carol
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Lily Tomlin, Grandma
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Brie Larson, Room
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Patricia Clarkson, Learning to Drive

Jason Mitchell, Straight Outta Compton
Robert Redford, Truth
Sam Elliott, Grandma
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Harvey Keitel, Youth
Jacob Tremblay, Room
Joel Edgerton, Black Mass
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Michael Keaton, Spotlight

Jane Fonda, Youth
Rooney Mara, Carol
Jessica Chastain, The Martian
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Joan Allen, Room
Marcia Gay Harden, Grandma

Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman began his Showbiz411 column in April 2009 after 10 years with Fox News, where he created the Fox411 column. His movie reviews are carried by Rotten Tomatoes, and he is a member of both the movie and TV branches of the Critics Choice Awards. His articles have appeared in dozens of publications over the years including New York Magazine, where he wrote the Intelligencer column in the mid 90s and covered the OJ Simpson trial, and Fox News (when it wasn't so crazy) where he covered Michael Jackson. He is also the writer and co-producer of "Only the Strong Survive," a selection of the Cannes, Sundance, and Telluride Film festivals, directed by DA Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus.

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