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“Selma” Can Still Win Best Picture Despite the Snub for Best Actor and Director

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So: we watched Ava Duvernay’s “Selma” again today, this time with two young black women who were at my parents’ home. And this is what I can tell you: they wept. And the movie is as good or better than the first time I saw it right after Thanksgiving. David Oyelowo’s performance is enormous, and all the other actors, especially Carmen Ejogo as Coretta Scott King, are exceptional.

The villain of the piece, Alabama governor George Wallace, hits just the right notes. And President Lyndon Johnson? If you pay close enough attention, he comes out a hero. Tom Wilkinson gives him just enough gruff to make him a dramatic foil for Oyelowo’s Martin Luther King.

“Selma,” let’s not forget, IS nominated for Best Picture. It can still win. And probably should.

“Selma,” I’d say, was the victim of a smear campaign. I’m not sure if it was on purpose. But it began with a piece that Politico picked up authored by the head of the Johnson library, one Mark Updegrove. He published a book in 2012 called “Indomitable Will” about the Johnson presidency, and was obviously looking for some publicity. He got it. He’s all over the place, no doubt very pleased with himself.

The Huffington Post jumped on the piece after it was published on December 22nd, and the rest of the press followed, as usual, like lemmings. “Selma” suddenly was to be dismissed for futzing with the facts as if no other movie based on history had ever done that.

And really, as many people said to me at that point, black people had had their big year last year with “12 Years a Slave” and “Fruitvale Station” and “Mandela.” Wasn’t that enough?

Then came #OscarsoWhite and the claims that the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences was racist. (Ridiculous, and it’s run by a black woman.) Al Sharpton got involved, because why not? On Sunday Maureen Dowd threw her lot in. Today, it’s David Carr’s turn. Each is in the New York Times.

This much I know: both Richard Valeriani and Gay Talese, two legendary journalists who were in Selma for the march and saw the movie, have praised it a lot. Robert Caro, who’s written three volumes of LBJ biographies, told me hadn’t seen the movie, didn’t have an opinion, and slammed the phone down before I could ask him anything else. That wasn’t very nice.

There’s a big discrepancy about who came up with the Selma idea– Johnson or MLK. There’s also the debate over whether Johnson wanted the Voting Rights Act, or didn’t, and so on. LBJ was no angel. His biographers love him, and are fighting for his legacy. But you know, he was by all accounts a mean spirited politician who was an unhappy vice president. For 20 years he voted against all civil rights bills in Congress. The country literally blew up over Vietnam during his five years as president, leading to Nixon and a lot of terrible things.

That Johnson did become a fervent civil rights backer after 1957 is true. And the Civil Rights Act is his greatest legacy. So he was not a black and white fellow, but more gray, and very human.

In that case, I defer to Bill Moyers, who worked for Johnson and was there in the White House in 1965. On his blog he has written of “Selma”: “it’s a powerful but flawed film.”

Moyers says, in the plus column: “There are some beautiful and poignant moments in the film that take us closer to the truth than anything I’ve seen in other movies to date: the cruelty visited upon black people every day by whites and armed authorities; the humiliation they faced simply trying to register to vote (“Name all the county judges in Alabama!”); the courage and fear of those black people who put themselves on the line for freedom’s sake; the ambivalence in Martin Luther King Jr. as he faced the inescapability of leadership and constant threat of death. I cannot imagine the dread one had to subdue to step on that bridge that day.”

As for the Johnson rendering: “To my knowledge he never suggested Selma as the venue for a march but he’s on record as urging King to do something to arouse the sleeping white conscience, and when violence met the marchers on that bridge, he knew the moment had come: He told me to alert the speechwriters to get ready and within days he made his own famous “We Shall Overcome” address that transformed the political environment.”

Moyers continues: “Here the film is very disappointing…This is the moment when the film blows the possibility for true drama — of history happening right before our eyes.”

No historical film is perfect. We could zip through “A Beautiful Mind,” “Schindler’s List,” “Saving Private Ryan,” even the current “The Theory of Everything”– and find so much to quibble about. But is “Selma” a great film? Yes. Lyndon Johnson can take it, and whoever makes his biopic can fix what they didn’t like here. This isn’t about LBJ. It’s about Martin Luther King. Let’s not lose sight of that. Ava Duvernay has made a movie that will last for a long, long time.  “Selma” is the most important movie of 2014-15. Let’s not get distracted from that.

PS The song “Glory” by Common and John Legend was nominated. And it’s spellbinding.

 

Clint Eastwood’s American Sniper Breaks Records, Biggest Box Office of All Oscar Nominees

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Finally, an Oscar nominee that’s a hit. A bona fide hit. Clint Eastwood‘s “American Sniper” took in $90.2 mil over the last three days. It’s the second biggest opening weekend of an R rated movie ever. EVER. It’s the highest grossing of all the Oscar nominated movies this year. And I think it changes the Best Actor race, giving Bradley Cooper a big push against Michael Keaton and Eddie Redmayne. Cooper has a 3pm matinee today for “The Elephant Man” on Broadway. I don’t know how he’s going to keep from grinning through the whole show. Bravo!

SNL: Watch Kate McKinnon’s Brilliant Parody (With Cecily Strong) of Justin Bieber

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Watch Kate McKinnon and Cecily Strong’s brilliant parody of the Justin Bieber-Calvin Klein commercials on “Saturday Night Live.” This is one of many excellent skits from last night’s show.

Bieber may have a touring career left in him, but musically he’s pretty much kaput. Culturally, as well. He’s the laughingstock of the moment. And it’s not even that. He has no musical cred, no one single or piece of music that’s sold well or had any critical appreciation.

His last collection, sent straight to iTunes, was a disaster. His name does not appear with his contemporaries on any list of this or last year’s best selling hits. Radio rejects him. And now this, this is devastating. The tattoos are truly hilarious and pathetic.

Mariah Carey About to Make “Epic” Move Back to L.A. Reid and Sony (EXCLUSIVE)

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UPDATE I’m told that Carey dined last week in L.A. with Reid and Epic’s new Marketing/PR whiz Laura Swanson, who worked for Reid and Carey at DefJam previously. “The band is getting back together,” joked an insider. It’s a done deal.

EXCLUSIVE  Mariah Carey is coming back to Sony and Epic Records. Carey, I am told, is basically done at Universal Music Group and DefJam Records. Her last release, last June’s “Me.I. Am Mariah,” was a spectacular sales flop, not crossing the 250k mark. (It was actually lower.) The elusive chanteuse has never really equaled her DefJam hits “The Emancipation of Mimi” and “E=MC2.” And all of her loyalists from the DefJam days are gone, starting with former label chief L.A. Reid.

Reid left DefJam for Epic, where he had a slow and bumpy start after an unfortunate detour into “American Idol.” But now he’s on roll with mega hit Meghan Trainor, not to mention Sara Barielles, Bonnie McKee, Fifth Harmony, A Great Big World, The Fray, and Kongos. Reid is the only one in the biz who could relaunch Carey as an adult star– no more hip hop– and may be the only one wants to.

More importantly, Sony has incentive. Most of Mariah’s classic catalog of albums is still there from her Tommy Mottola days. Reid’s first move might be to do a Mariah-and-guests duets album of her hits like “Dreamlover” and “Vision of Love” a la Barbra Streisand.

One source tells me: “It’s in the works and should be done shortly.”

Another sign: a blind item on hitsdailydouble claiming a major legacy pop star just dissed his/her record execs backstage at her show. Carey held court at the Beacon Theater in December for about a week. Just sayin’…

And don’t forget: Carey is about to take over from fellow Epic star Celine Dion at Caesar’s in Las Vegas. The Butterfly singer is ready for a resurgence. The only thing she still needs: a  manager. Someone she actually listens to. She’s been through several in the last couple of years.

 

Scientology vs. HBO May Also Be the End of Tom Cruise at Warner Bros.

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The war between the cult of Scientology and HBO could have a domino effect in other places. Yesterday, Scientology took out a full page ad in the New York Times decrying HBO for its upcoming documentary “Going Clear.” Based on Lawrence Wright’s much praised book of the same name, “Going Clear” is directed by Alex Gibney. The book rips open the cult’s secrets along with many stories about Scientology’s Hollywood members including Tom Cruise and John Travolta.

When “Going Clear” is finally seen, we’ll see just how much of it takes in Hollywood. That may put HBO’s parent company, Time Warner, in some trouble. HBO’s cousins are Warner Bros, movie studio and CNN. Also still in the family, although at arms’ reach, are the Time Inc magazines including People and Entertainment Weekly.

Will Cruise make another movie at Warner’s, or ever do publicity again with People or EW? What about Travolta and some of the others who are identified with Scientology like Kirstie Alley, Juliette Lewis, Jenna Elfman, and so on? Cruise’s biggest film other than a franchise in 10 years was “Edge of Tomorrow,” at Warner’s last year. His next three announced projects are at Paramount, but you never know when a script will come along that Cruise wants– and it’s at HBO.

And what of Travolta? He’s moving into TV with “American Crime Story” on F/X. An HBO series for a fading film star is not out of the question. But it may be for HBO if Travolta’s Scientology travails are revealed.

PS I don’t see Gibney pulling punches. His Lance Armstrong and Wikileaks docs were exemplary in how they went for the good stuff. If I were the people in “Going Clear,” I’d be nervous.

Box Office: Universal, Michael Mann Suffer a $70 Mil Disaster with “Blackhat”

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Michael Mann has directed some of the great films ever, including “The Last of the Mohicans,” “Heat,” “Ali,” The Insider.” Classics But he also made the god awful film of his memorable TV show “Miami Vice.” Ouch.

You know that if a Michael Mann movie is opening in January with no Oscar run it must be very very bad. And so “Blackhat,” which they say cost $70 million but probably more, opened and died last night. In wide release it took in just $1.4 million, even with star Chris Hemsworth. Even with hacking, the movie’s subject, in the news.

Mann hasn’t had a real hit since “Collateral” in 2004. Like Warren Beatty, he hasn’t made many films, so the flops don’t outweigh the successes. But this is a write for Universal, which at least has had “Unbroken” to brag about.

Rent “Heat” tonight and see what a good movie really can be.

 

Clint Eastwood, Bradley Cooper Get the Last Laugh with Record Breaking “American Sniper”

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Just when you thought you knew everything about the Oscar race, here’s some news: Clint Eastwood’s excellent film “American Sniper” nominated for Best Picture, set a box office record on Friday. With $30.5 million in one night, “Sniper” is the largest single January opening ever. The film could clear $80-90 million by the end of Friday.

Surprise! Bradley Cooper has his third Oscar nod in a row as Chris Kyle. Cooper is currently getting raves on Broadway in “The Elephant Man.” His final performance is the night before the Oscars. Does he pose a threat to Best Actor leader Michael Keaton? I’d say yes. And now that David Oyelowo has been snubbed in “Selma” as Martin Luther King Jr., I’d say that Cooper is my new choice for Best Actor.

Eastwood and Cooper get the last laugh. Eastwood, 84, was being dismissed after his disappointing take on “Jersey Boys.” Cooper was considered an also ran in the Oscar race. But I told you last month that I could not get that performance out of my head. It really resonated. There was a fear that the Oscar voters and blue staters aka liberals would not get “Sniper.” But Cooper, Eastwood, and co-star Sienna Miller make this movie an all too human story.

The problem with this year’s Oscars is that there weren’t 6 or 7 slots for Best Actor. Yes, Oyelowo was cheated. But the five who made it are all deserving. And now I think Bradley Cooper may surprise everyone yet.

Movie Theater Exec: “The Interview” Will Lose $30 Mil For Sony

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I’ve told you that “The Interview” was a bust despite all kinds of “expert” opinions. The Seth Rogen-James Franco-Kim Jong Un comedy reportedly cost $42 million, plus a lot of bruised egos. At the box office it comes in at $6 million– a hard number. Sony said it brought in $31 million on video platforms, but no one really knows. Plus a lot of people who “rented” on the Sony website also were able to keep the film forever.

Now Patrick Corcoran, Vice President & Chief Communications Officer for the National Association of Theatre Owners says “The Interview” will lose $30 million for Sony. Corcoran rightly observes that “The Interview” was a momentary novelty. He writes: “What was a bit surprising was the fact that The Interview’s VOD revenues decreased after its opening four days, despite being available on enormously more outlets when it expanded to iTunes and cable VOD platforms around the country. The movie took in $15 million in its first four days. It took in $16 million in the next seven.”

And pretty much nothing after that. “The Interview” raised awareness of VOD and alternate ways of seeing movies. But it also served to undermine the movie business in a big way, much the way digital platforms destroyed book and record stores. It could be the death knell for movie theaters, too. Corcoran is right to sound a danger alarm.

Read his column here: http://pro.boxoffice.com/latest-news/2015-01-16-the-imitation-game-the-interviews-simultaneous-release-doesnt-change-anything

Oscar Noms: All Those Who Made it Are “Thrilled, Grateful, Blessed, Surprised”

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Yesterday, Oscar Thursday, I was out of pocket after the Academy Award nominations were announced. So now I am catching up. Suffice to say, all the nominees were “surprised, thrilled, grateful, and blessed.” Not one of them said, Who cares? Or ‘What nominations?’ They all claimed to be sleeping or not thinking about the nominations, which were read out loud on national TV and the internet, and beamed to the Moon, at 8:30am Eastern time.

Who wasn’t happy? This is just a guess, but I’d say David Oyelowo, the superb British actor who played Martin Luther King, Jr. in “Selma” was disappointed. By the time got on screen at the Critics Choice Awards on Thursday night, he looked angry. He has the right. Everyone with “Selma” starting with director Ava Duvernay should be mad as hell.

Who else? Many directors who weren’t nominated with their films. Apparently “Selma,” “American Sniper,” “Theory of Everything,” and “Whiplash” were directed by people who weren’t so good. At the same time, Bennett Miller was a Best Director of “Foxcatcher,” directing two actors to nominations, but the movie wasn’t a Best Picture.

Others who have reason to be bummed include most anyone involved with “Into the Woods,” “Unbroken,” “A Most Violent Year,” and “Interstellar.” They were just about obliterated. And right– “A Most Violent Year” got noting from the Oscars or the Golden Globes, but got a phoney baloney award from the National Board of Review– a cock up, as I told you last week.

Some films simply weren’t promoted. A lot of us loved “Belle” and its star Gugu Mbatha Raw. The studio did nothing to help it along. This happens. At the same time, some are over promoted. Jennifer Aniston did work her “Cake” performance into some nominations, but fell short of the Oscars. I think we will see her again, but in a sophisticated comedy. (Not “We’re the Millers.”

“Boyhood” is the front runner because it’s the most unique idea in a long time. It captured imaginations in the same way as “The Artist.” This isn’t to say anything negative about the 7 other nominees. They are each terrific films. I’m especially a fan of “The Imitation Game,” which had the strongest narrative of all the films. My reaction though is “not so hot” as “Selma” will outlive a lot of the nominees.

Watch this Video and See Why Jessica Chastain is So Popular, and Full of Grace

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Jessica Chastain will get on Oscar soon. If she’s the future of Hollywood, we’re in good hands. She’s one of my favorite people, and is wildly popular with the entertainment press. This is why: