Monday, June 22, 2026

Scorsese’s “Silence” Golden Globe Snub Won’t Hurt Oscar Chances– Globes Are Not Predictive

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So the Golden Globes totally snubbed Martin Scorsese’s “Silence”– an amazing movie that they either didn’t get or didn’t see because it was ready so late.

But it doesn’t matter for “Silence”‘s Oscar chances. Plenty of movies have won the Oscar after losing the Golden Globe.

Indeed, in 2011 the Coen Brothers’ “True Grit” snagged 10 Oscar nominations after failing to get a Globe nod.

This past year, the Globes– in a frenzy– awarded “The Revenant” Best Picture, Drama. The Academy Award  went to “Spotlight.”

The Globes and the Oscars have only lined up five times in recent years– the Globes are not a predictor of Oscars. The five times– “Slumdog Millionaire” (Globe for Drama, 2008), “The King’s Speech” (Globe for Drama, 2010), “The Artist” (Globe for Comedy/Musical, 2011), “Argo” (Globe for Drama, 2012), and “12 Years a Slave” (Globe for Drama, 2013).

But the reality is that the  Academy zigs when the Globes zag.  The Globes went to Brokeback Mountain and Walk the Line, but Crash won. The Globes went to Babel and Dreamgirls, but the Oscars went to The Departed. The Globes went to Atonement and Sweeney Todd, but the Oscar was presented to No Country for Old Men. The Globes went to Avatar and The Hangover and Oscar went to The Hurt Locker. Two years ago, the Globes were given to Boyhood and The Grand Budapest Hotel, the Oscar to Birdman.

So we’ll enjoy the Golden Globes but take their choices under advisement. A lot of things are yet to happen here in the Oscar race!

PS Thanks to Flavorwire, which did some of this research last year.

 

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Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman is the founder and editor-in-chief of Showbiz411. He wrote the FOX411 column on FoxNews.com from 1999 to 2009, where he covered Michael Jackson, and previously wrote the "Intelligencer" column at New York magazine in the mid-1990s, where he covered the O.J. Simpson trial. He also edited Fame magazine. His bylines have appeared in The New York Times, The Washington Post, the New York Daily News, the New York Post, Vogue, Details, and the Miami Herald. He is a voting member of the Critics Choice Awards (Film and Television branches), and his movie reviews are tracked by Rotten Tomatoes. With D.A. Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus, he co-produced the 2002 documentary "Only the Strong Survive," which screened at Directors' Fortnight at the Cannes Film Festival.

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