Monday, June 17, 2024

Scorsese’s “Silence” Golden Globe Snub Won’t Hurt Oscar Chances– Globes Are Not Predictive


So the Golden Globes totally snubbed Martin Scorsese’s “Silence”– an amazing movie that they either didn’t get or didn’t see because it was ready so late.

But it doesn’t matter for “Silence”‘s Oscar chances. Plenty of movies have won the Oscar after losing the Golden Globe.

Indeed, in 2011 the Coen Brothers’ “True Grit” snagged 10 Oscar nominations after failing to get a Globe nod.

This past year, the Globes– in a frenzy– awarded “The Revenant” Best Picture, Drama. The Academy Award  went to “Spotlight.”

The Globes and the Oscars have only lined up five times in recent years– the Globes are not a predictor of Oscars. The five times– “Slumdog Millionaire” (Globe for Drama, 2008), “The King’s Speech” (Globe for Drama, 2010), “The Artist” (Globe for Comedy/Musical, 2011), “Argo” (Globe for Drama, 2012), and “12 Years a Slave” (Globe for Drama, 2013).

But the reality is that the  Academy zigs when the Globes zag.  The Globes went to Brokeback Mountain and Walk the Line, but Crash won. The Globes went to Babel and Dreamgirls, but the Oscars went to The Departed. The Globes went to Atonement and Sweeney Todd, but the Oscar was presented to No Country for Old Men. The Globes went to Avatar and The Hangover and Oscar went to The Hurt Locker. Two years ago, the Globes were given to Boyhood and The Grand Budapest Hotel, the Oscar to Birdman.

So we’ll enjoy the Golden Globes but take their choices under advisement. A lot of things are yet to happen here in the Oscar race!

PS Thanks to Flavorwire, which did some of this research last year.


Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman began his Showbiz411 column in April 2009 after 10 years with Fox News, where he created the Fox411 column. His movie reviews are carried by Rotten Tomatoes, and he is a member of both the movie and TV branches of the Critics Choice Awards. His articles have appeared in dozens of publications over the years including New York Magazine, where he wrote the Intelligencer column in the mid 90s and covered the OJ Simpson trial, and Fox News (when it wasn't so crazy) where he covered Michael Jackson. He is also the writer and co-producer of "Only the Strong Survive," a selection of the Cannes, Sundance, and Telluride Film festivals, directed by DA Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus.

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