Home Movies Golden Globes Mean Little for Oscars as Academy Usually Shows

The Golden Globes? After all that noise– and what a boring show with Tina Fey and Amy Poehler gagged from joking about the HFPA–it all means little when it comes to the Oscars.

The winners from last night who will translate over to the Academy Awards– Cate Blanchett and Jared Leto. But Matthew McConaughey and Jennifer Lawrence–good as they were– will likely not repeat themselves. Neither will Amy Adams or Leonardo DiCaprio.

Vying for an Oscar for Best Actor are Bruce Dern and Robert Redford. If they split the vote, the winner will be Chiwetel Ejiofor. Tom Hanks, so eloquent in “Captain Phillips,” will settle for a nomination.

Best Supporting Actress will now turn to Lupita Nyongo and June Squibb. Oprah Winfrey, if she’s nominated on Thursday morning, should win.

Best Picture: The Globes endorsed “American Hustle” and “12 Years a Slave.” They actually passed over “Gravity.” The Oscar for Best Picture is wide open again, I think, with “Gravity” losing gravitas. “Inside Llewyn Davis” and “Nebraska” move down to 10th and 9th, I think. We’ll see. “Philomena” may be the surprise of the season.

Author
Roger Friedman began his Showbiz411 column in April 2009 after 10 years with Fox News, where he created the Fox411 column. He wrote the Intelligencer column for NY Magazine in the mid 90s, reporting on the OJ Simpson trial, as well as for the real Parade magazine (when it was owned by Conde Nast), and has written for the New York Observer, Details, Vogue, Spin, the New York Times, NY Post, Washington Post, and NY Daily News among many publications. He is the writer and co-producer of "Only the Strong Survive," a selection of the Cannes, Sundance, and Telluride Film festivals, directed by DA Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus.

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