Sunday, July 5, 2026

Nail Biter: Oscar Show Insiders Are Counting on Black Panther for a Best Pic Nomination to Boost TV Ratings, Worried it Won’t Happen

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The countdown to Oscar nominations on Tuesday morning is more of a nail-biter than ever.

There are many dramas-within-dramas, including which actors and actresses will be cut off from the top 5 in every category. The Oscar-nosticators are busy all weekend trying to divine who will be in and who will be out.

But the biggest drama is about “Black Panther.” The Academy and ABC TV are counting on Ryan Coogler’s $700 million epic making the finals for Best Picture. If it doesn’t, there will be huge headaches.

“Black Panther” is the one movie everyone who loves movies saw last year. It’s also considered a watershed moment for comic book movies, and for films featuring African Americans. If it’s in the running, fans may very well tune in to see its cast featured and maybe some below-the-line wins.

But if “Black Panther” somehow doesn’t make the cut, there will be terror in all conference calls and group emails about the February 24th show. Right now, “Black Panther” is the key to survival in the ratings. The word is that the show’s producers are trying to round up a huge group of Marvel universe actors including the ones from “BP.” That would be a ratings draw.

So far the good money on Best Picture includes “Roma,” “Green Book,” “A Star is Born,” “The Favourite,” and “Vice.” But then what? “Blackkklansman” is definite. “If Beale Street Could Talk” looks good. That’s seven. Only two more than statistically fit. “Black Panther” would have to be 8, with “Bohemian Rhapsody” or “Mary Poppins Returns” as 9th. “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” lingers at 10.

Let’s say some prayers then for “Black Panther” and hope when Kumail Nanjiani and Tracee Ellis Ross read the list next Tuesday morning, it’s in alphabetical order. Otherwise, we’ll be hearing from the folks in Wakanda.

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Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman is the founder and editor-in-chief of Showbiz411. He wrote the FOX411 column on FoxNews.com from 1999 to 2009, where he covered Michael Jackson, and previously wrote the "Intelligencer" column at New York magazine in the mid-1990s, where he covered the O.J. Simpson trial. He also edited Fame magazine. His bylines have appeared in The New York Times, The Washington Post, the New York Daily News, the New York Post, Vogue, Details, and the Miami Herald. He is a voting member of the Critics Choice Awards (Film and Television branches), and his movie reviews are tracked by Rotten Tomatoes. With D.A. Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus, he co-produced the 2002 documentary "Only the Strong Survive," which screened at Directors' Fortnight at the Cannes Film Festival.

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