Thursday, April 25, 2024

National Board Not a Great Oscar Predictor–7 Times Right out of 20


The National Board of Review is not a great indicator of the Academy Award.

The NBR has chosen the Best Picture only 7 times in the last 20 years. They’ve only picked it three times in the last decade.

What the NBR does do is build up false hopes. They were the ones who got the “Up in the Air” crowd riled up. They were very disappointed later.

2010     The Social Network
2009     Up in the Air
2008     Slumdog Millionaire- won the Oscar
2007     No Country for Old Men – won the Oscar
2006     Letters from Iwo Jima
2005     Good Night, And Good Luck
2004     Finding Neverland
2003     Mystic River – won the Oscar corrected: lost to “Lord of the Rings”
2002     The Hours
2001     Moulin Rouge
2000     Quills
1999     American Beauty – won the Oscar
1998     Gods and Monsters
1997     L.A. Confidential
1996     Shine
1995     Sense & Sensibility
1994     Pulp Fiction  (tie) Forrest Gump – won the Oscar
1993     Schindler’s List – won the Oscar
1992     Howards End
1991     The Silence of the Lambs – won the Oscar

Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman began his Showbiz411 column in April 2009 after 10 years with Fox News, where he created the Fox411 column. His movie reviews are carried by Rotten Tomatoes, and he is a member of both the movie and TV branches of the Critics Choice Awards. His articles have appeared in dozens of publications over the years including New York Magazine, where he wrote the Intelligencer column in the mid 90s and covered the OJ Simpson trial, and Fox News (when it wasn't so crazy) where he covered Michael Jackson. He is also the writer and co-producer of "Only the Strong Survive," a selection of the Cannes, Sundance, and Telluride Film festivals, directed by DA Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus.

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