Monday, June 24, 2024

Last Night’s Golden Globes: Did They Predict the Oscars or Send the Academy in a Different Direction?


Last night’s Golden Globes were…a mess. The awards were Tweeted out, and badly, from the Beverly Hilton ballroom. There was no video. Or stars. Except for Jamie Lee Curtis, who has a lot of explaining to do. (She’ll be getting a Globe next year for that performance.)

The winners were “The Power of the Dog” in drama, and “West Side Story” in musical/comedy. Will the Academy rubber stamp those choices? I doubt it. I really think there’s a case now for “Belfast” to sweep into the Oscars as Best Picture. “Power of the Dog” had a big Netflix push, and director Jane Campion could still pull off Best Director. But the movie? That dog won’t hunt.

“West Side Story” was my choice for Best Picture early on. It’s big and bold, comes from a big studio. has all the elements that make it the opposite of last year’s winner. “Nomadland.” But Disney has not sent out screeners. The movie has been a box office disappointment.  Disney seems to have no consciousness about how to market it or make it seem like something entertaining and important.

Best actor in a drama at the Globes went to Will Smith for “King Richard.” That may have been Will’s peak. Andrew Garfield has the momentum from “Tick Tick Boom” plus he’s finally embraced his “Spider Man” history. If the Oscars can get him to do a film bit playing the piano like Jonathan Larson in his “Spider Man”  suit, he’s in.

Best actress in a drama went to Nicole Kidman for “Being the Ricardos.” The movie is solid, Kidman is beloved and did a great job. She has the momentum for the Oscars. Rachel Zegler won Best Actress in a Musical/Comedy. Her  lovely debut in “West Side Story” is hampered, I  think, by the movie’s current standing.

What about Lady Gaga? “House of Gucci,” like all the other MGM/UAR movies, is a marketing, PR fiasco. The whole thing rests on Gaga, and she’s exhausted all avenues. She carries the movie, but this is no “Star is Born” scenario. Penelope Cruz, if she had a campaign, has momentum from the National Society of Film Critics. Kristen Stewart, I’m afraid, may be done. Jessica Chastain hangs in there on good will.

Director? The Globes went for Jane Campion. Unless there’s some major turnaround, she’ll win the Oscar. This is her year. That’s the one major accomplishment from Netflix. The only upset could be a big wave of enthusiasm for Kenneth Branagh, and “Belfast” making a quick break to the finish line. It was my favorite movie of the year. Jamie Dornan and Ciaran Hinds seem to cancel each other out for Best Supporting Actor, although one of them should win. Unless someone stands up and wants it, Best Supporting Actress will go to Ariana Debose. She’s excellent in the film, and she wants it.

So that’s where we are on January 10th. Of course, the Critics Choice Awards will have some bearing but not much if they occur after Academy voting is over.


Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman
Roger Friedman began his Showbiz411 column in April 2009 after 10 years with Fox News, where he created the Fox411 column. His movie reviews are carried by Rotten Tomatoes, and he is a member of both the movie and TV branches of the Critics Choice Awards. His articles have appeared in dozens of publications over the years including New York Magazine, where he wrote the Intelligencer column in the mid 90s and covered the OJ Simpson trial, and Fox News (when it wasn't so crazy) where he covered Michael Jackson. He is also the writer and co-producer of "Only the Strong Survive," a selection of the Cannes, Sundance, and Telluride Film festivals, directed by DA Pennebaker and Chris Hegedus.

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